
Poland: decarbonization kicks +2% of GDP and +300K jobs
Third largest economy in the EU, with the emission of more than 800 gm of carbon dioxide per euro of GDP, where coal dominates the energy sector, with a 77% share in electricity production.
Third largest economy in the EU, with the emission of more than 800 gm of carbon dioxide per euro of GDP, where coal dominates the energy sector, with a 77% share in electricity production.
The 500+ policy seems to have had the political effects desired by the government, rather than solving economic and demographic issues.
In the country, which became the fifth European economy with an average GDP of 4% in 2009-19, per capita income grew at a rate of 5.3%.
With consumer demand expected to rise, supply will struggle: businesses face rising commodities prices, lack of components and staff shortages.
The increase in tax burdens would fail to cover the promised reduction in the tax burden, causing more uncertainty and reduced investment.
While private consumption accounts for 58% of GDP, Warsaw’s economic performance depends less on exports than its regional partners.
Unemployment has risen: consumption and investment face a higher level of uncertainty and a decline in capacity utilization induced by lower demand.
Last year Poland recorded current account surpluses in each month, accounting for 18.4 billion euros. But retail sales fell 6.0% YoY in January.
The lack of investment weighs on real prospects and opportunities in the medium to long term, as private investment has been below the EU average for years.
EU leaders have reached a compromise to unlock the €1.8 tn Recovery Fund: any sanction could only start after approval by the EU Court of Justice.