
Too little too late in raising interest rates now?
NBP action lags behind other CEE central banks, while authorities pretend the elevated CPI to be a result of external supply shocks.
NBP action lags behind other CEE central banks, while authorities pretend the elevated CPI to be a result of external supply shocks.
The risk of wage-price spirals is increasing in front of labour shortages, commodity prices, and the tax changes introduced in the new “Polish Deal”.
Polish construction output is forecast to level off in 2021, and to rebound by more than 7% in 2022. Profit margins will deteriorate and fail to increase further.
The Polish economy continues to grow, driven by two engines: industry and services. Next year, demand and wage pressure will be the key drivers of inflation.
The ruling of the Constitutional Tribunal introduces aspects of a legal Polexit, harming the judicial cooperation between Polish and European courts.
ING estimates strong price pressure due to the continued rise in fuel, food and energy. In August, PPI accelerated to 9.5% YoY.
Rulers in Warsaw are undermining the independence of courts, media and NGOs. Forgetting that the primacy of European laws is a key principle of the integration.
Third largest economy in the EU, with the emission of more than 800 gm of carbon dioxide per euro of GDP, where coal dominates the energy sector, with a 77% share in electricity production.
The 500+ policy seems to have had the political effects desired by the government, rather than solving economic and demographic issues.
In the country, which became the fifth European economy with an average GDP of 4% in 2009-19, per capita income grew at a rate of 5.3%.