Despite the narrative, you can’t fight fire with fire
Thanks to the combination of fiscal and monetary intervention, the structural problems on the supply side will only be exacerbated by monetary tightening.
Thanks to the combination of fiscal and monetary intervention, the structural problems on the supply side will only be exacerbated by monetary tightening.
The core inflation is expected to remain elevated due to the non-competitive wage growth affecting both demand and costs in the price-setting process.
Poland’s central bank lowered interest rates despite inflation standing at 10%. The zloty immediately lost value against the dollar and the euro.
Inflation will close to 9%, while the low estimates of competitiveness in Germany and Finland deepen the economic uncertainty.
Vilnius’ economy is predicted to slightly contract this year (-1.4%) before bouncing back (+2.9%) – as long as the focus is on innovation and productivity.
Estonian GDP shrank by 2.9% YoY: about 40% of the value created by companies is intended for export, which since last year has lost competitiveness.
Poland raises spending on defence, health, social benefits, and public-sector pay: all money supply that sets an exchange of nothing for something.
While most of consumers expect prices to stay high, Polish inflation is set to receive a boost with a 60% increase in child benefit payments (+0.8% GDP).
Latvia’s inflation projections are revised downwards. But the wage-price spiral is not taken into consideration: in Q1 wages already edged up by 12%.
The purchasing power of wages has not yet returned to where it was, their paid-out exceeded 10% throughout the first five months of the year.