Polish hawkish rhetoric sees hope in a stronger złoty
GDP and consumption booms continue, but price-wage spiral too, as consequence of expansionary economic policy in recent years.
GDP and consumption booms continue, but price-wage spiral too, as consequence of expansionary economic policy in recent years.
Lithuanian export of goods rose more rapidly than imports. The largest share of FDI was attracted by companies in financial and insurance activities.
NBP action lags behind other CEE central banks, while authorities pretend the elevated CPI to be a result of external supply shocks.
The risk of wage-price spirals is increasing in front of labour shortages, commodity prices, and the tax changes introduced in the new “Polish Deal”.
Estonia showed one of the fastest recoveries from the crisis with an economic growth of 8%. However, a slow down is now expected.
GDP growth projections for 2021-22 have been revised downwards, hit by shortages of materials, equipment, labour and rising energy costs.
Last October the CAB surplus went up to €349.0 million. The primary income balance turned to surplus due to agricultural subsidies from the EU.
In Latvia, real GDP has decelerated, hit by production and supply disruptions. The growth of purchasing power is uneven and exceeded by wages.
In Estonia, inflation of 7% in October was caused by a sharp rise in energy prices and blockages in the supply chain. Demand is driving an economic growth.
Polish construction output is forecast to level off in 2021, and to rebound by more than 7% in 2022. Profit margins will deteriorate and fail to increase further.