
Economic growth still backed by mere consumption, not export
Poland’s GDP growth in Q4 was 3.2% YoY, up from 2.7% in Q3, hauled by household consumption rising by 3.2% YoY and public consumption by 3.4% YoY.
Poland’s GDP growth in Q4 was 3.2% YoY, up from 2.7% in Q3, hauled by household consumption rising by 3.2% YoY and public consumption by 3.4% YoY.
In Poland, the construction sector remains in a deep recession (-9.6% YoY in October). The first signs of a recovery are expected in 2025.
330-meters long, with 9 floors and 447 rooms, the longest hotel in Europe in Silesian Beskids can accommodate up to 1k guests.
Economic growth is still based on one pillar, and that’s consumption. With a persistently high core inflation, the question is: for how long?
Estonia has about twenty historic properties on the market: stately buildings are cheaper though subject to obligations and complications.
Timid manufacturing alongside a recovery in demand indicates weak exports, while pro-social government policies pump wages at the expense of productivity.
Despite the decline in manufacturing, ING sees encouraging signs. However, wage growth leaves no space for doubt: the double-digit core inflation will stay.
In Poland real interests are negative, and core inflation is still at the highest levels. Industrial output (-3.2%), construction (-0.7%), and retail sales (-6.8%) are all falling.
High inflation has translated not only into a decline in real purchasing power, but also in construction- (-1.5%) and industrial production (-2.9%) drops.
In Poland, the risk of annual growth falling to negative is high. And building construction will be one of the weakest spots of the domestic economy in 2023.