2020-12-26
In Lithuania, exports remain resilient to the pandemic
Private consumption will remain strong thanks to rising incomes, pension indexation, higher minimum wages and a vibrant labour market.
2020-12-12
In Latvia, skilled emigration and recycling hold back growth potential
Latvian GDP growth fell by -9.2% and the current account deficit is on the rise. Loans to the private sector are held back by an extensive informal sector.
Recovery Fund unlocked: for Poland and Hungary the game moves to the Court of Justice
EU leaders have reached a compromise to unlock the €1.8 tn Recovery Fund: any sanction could only start after approval by the EU Court of Justice.
2020-12-05
EU budget 2021-27: the Commission could proceed without Poland and Hungary
Brussels is ready to endorse the alternatives and proceed without Warsaw and Budapest, whose subsidies are estimated at 3% of GDP.
2020-11-28
Estonia: excellent ICT and accounts, but weak demand damps exports
Tallinn’s GDP will fall by 4.5%, while in 2021-22 will recover with the rebound in private consumption and investment. Public debt remains the lowest in the EU.
2020-11-14
Poland: more resilience than Eurozone, but risk on investments
The diversified economic structure and low exposure to sectors affected by the pandemic allow Warsaw to contain the recession.
2020-10-31
Poland: it’s not all gold what glitters
Before the pandemic outbreak, the economy was expected to slow down slightly (+3%), with a decrease in exports and investments.
2020-10-17
Shock Therapy impact and perspective: a brief historical insight
A little bit of history: shock therapy impact and perspective.
2020-10-03
Reason, Attraction & Goal: what to look for, and why?
Introduction. Reason, attraction & goal: what to look for, and why?