Appreciation is not enough in the fight against inflation
The Bank of Poland takes its main rate to 4.5%, projecting 6.5% this year and 7.5% in 2023. Meanwhile, companies are passing higher costs on to CPI.
The Bank of Poland takes its main rate to 4.5%, projecting 6.5% this year and 7.5% in 2023. Meanwhile, companies are passing higher costs on to CPI.
As coal has the biggest potential to lower gas demand, Poland wants to use it to produce electricity after 2049 to bolster its energy security.
The conflict in Ukraine has created another excuse to blame inflation on oil and natural gas, rather than the increase in the money supply.
Household consumption will keep sustaining the Polish economic growth o\in 2022, and high producer prices will be passed on to final consumers.
The Latvian economy already returned to its pre-pandemic level in 2021, only thanks to household consumption, wage growth and savings.
In Lithuania, the inflation rate reached around 11% in early 2022, and heating bills are expected to increase by 50% to 60%.
Following a record GDP growth (8.5%) in 2021, the Estonian economy will slow in 2022, still maintaining a strong pace (+4%).
NATO’s Achilles heel in the Russia-Ukraine war. Beware of Kaliningrad, Russia outside Russia, a crossing point between Europe and the three Baltic countries.
Last December the surplus on the CAB contracted to €66.5 million due to a significant widening of the foreign trade deficit.
GDP and consumption booms continue, but price-wage spiral too, as consequence of expansionary economic policy in recent years.